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As the original Dow average was composed of shares from different sectors the next part of the Dow theory was that the average of the different sectors must confirm each other.
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Fundamental versus Technical Forecasting Just before we get started on the technical section of the book I want to introduce you to fundamental analysis.
Think of it like this, when you buy something you now own it.
A statistician would call it a "fair" coin.
Once you are committed to a particular time frame we can then define trend and emphasize the importance of drawing correct trend lines within the context of the time frame.